FiveThirtyEight Politics
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FiveThirtyEight Politics
The 538 team covers the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.
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Reaction Podcast: Trump Goes Long
Galen speaks with Nathaniel Rakich and Mary Radcliffe in this late night reaction to President Trump's address to Congress.
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Is The Era Of ‘Macho Man’ Politics Here?
Congress has kept relatively quiet during the first month of President Donald Trump's second term, but in the coming weeks it will be thrust into the...
No, It's Not Getting More Dangerous To Fly
It has been a difficult month for Americans afraid of flying. On Jan. 29, an American Airlines jet collided with a Black Hawk helicopter over the Poto...
Democrats Aren't Popular. What Should They Do About It?
The Democratic Party has reached at least a 15-year low in the public’s view, according to a recent Quinnipiac poll. Fifty-seven percent of registered...
Trump's Theory Of Presidential Power
In honor of Presidents’ Day, in this installment of the 538 Politics podcast Galen speaks with constitutional law professor Peter Shane about presiden...
A Valentine? In This Romantic Recession?
On this Valentine’s Day installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen is joined by Daniel Cox and Kelsey Eyre Hammond of the Survey Center on America...
How Data Became A Political Football
In this post-Super Bowl edition of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew kicks things off with some prop bets and a look at the rapid rise of sports gamb...
The View From Europe
In the post-war world order, the United States and Europe have been among the closest of allies. What happens if President Donald Trump upends that eq...
Will Tariffs End Trump’s Honeymoon?
After months of promising to impose tariffs on U.S. trading partners, President Donald Trump has made good on his word. On Friday, he announced 10 per...
Trump’s Federal Funding Fiasco
This week, the Trump administration oversaw a federal funding fiasco. The Office of Management and Budget issued a memo attacking DEI programs and put...
What Americans Think About Trump's Plans
President Donald Trump begins his second term as one of the least popular presidents in modern polling history. Yet, many of his policies — such as th...
Will Trump's Agenda Make It Through Congress?
The first few days of President Donald Trump’s second term have featured an avalanche of executive orders. But Trump’s authority as commander-in-chief...
Trump's Second Term Begins
The crew reacts to President Donald Trump’s second inaugural address, as well as Trump’s plans for issuing dozens of executive orders.
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The Highs and Lows of Biden’s Presidency
With just days remaining in President Joe Biden’s term, the crew reflects on the past four years and tries to determine how this administration will b...
How Serious Is Trump About Greenland?
With one week remaining before President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration, the nation is orienting itself towards his policy goals. Will they include...
Campaign Throwback: 'The Beer Question'
This is the third installment of the 538 Politics podcast mini-series, “Campaign Throwback.” Across three episodes, we're taking a look back at campai...
What Will The Politics of 2025 Look Like?
What’s on the horizon for American politics in 2025? In this episode of the 538 Politics podcast, the team dives into what lies ahead. They start with...
Campaign Throwback: 'Soccer Moms'
This is the second installment of the 538 Politics podcast mini-series, “Campaign Throwback.” Across three episodes, we're taking a look back at campa...
Campaign Throwback: 'The Economy, Stupid'
This is the first installment of the 538 Politics podcast mini-series, “Campaign Throwback.” Across three episodes, we're taking a look back at campai...
What We're Putting In Our 2024 Time Capsule
What would you save to remember 2024 in politics? In the second part of our end-of-year series on the 538 Politics podcast, the crew builds a time cap...
Our 2024 Superlatives
How do you measure a year? In votes cast? Money spent? Or in “seasons of love”? On this end-of-2024 installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew...
What Happens To Trump's Legal Cases Now?
Earlier this year, as President-elect Donald Trump mounted his campaign to return to the presidency, it seemed like one of the biggest barriers to his...
A Topsy-Turvy Week In Review
What even happened last week?! On this episode of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew catches Galen up as he returns from a rare week away from his pus...
Your Post-Election Questions, Answered
In this post-election mailbag episode, the crew tackles your burning questions about the 2024 election. Why did Democrats have lower turnout than four...
The 2026 Midterms Are Only 701 Days Away
Galen is out today, so 538’s Nathaniel Rakich steps in to guide the crew through the numbers. They unpack President Joe Biden’s surprise decision to p...
Voters Lose Their Appetite For Incumbents
In this Thanksgiving week installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew sits down for a three-course discussion. First, a new poll suggests that e...
How The Polls Did In 2024
Election Day was a moment of truth for pollsters. After high-profile misses in 2016 and 2020, and with a public that has become less trusting of polli...
What Americans Expect From Trump's Second Term
We are beginning to get a clearer view of what a second Trump administration might look like. President-elect Donald Trump is announcing his cabinet p...
A 'Realignment' Among Latino Voters
Latino voters made a big jump to the right this election cycle. While the numbers aren’t final, AP Votecast reports an 8-point shift and Edison exit p...
The Best And Worst Post-Election Hot Takes
Since Election Day, there’s been no shortage of hot takes explaining what happened and what it all means. Have Democrats lost the working class? Does...
Donald Trump Wins The Presidency
In this late-night, election-night edition of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew reacts to the results showing Donald Trump winning a second president...
An Hour-By-Hour Guide To Election Night
At long last, Election Day is upon us. In this final pre-results episode, the crew shares a guide for what to expect on election night — from the firs...
The Pollercoaster Takes A Final Plunge
Polls were coming in hot and heavy over the weekend! In fact, 164 surveys were entered into the 538 database since Friday. In this Election Day eve ep...
Galen’s Cauldron Of Queries
It’s not just election season; it’s spooky season, too.
In this Halloween installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew opens up the mailbag...
Will 2024 Be A Disputed Election?
Looking back on the 2020 election, the time between Election Day and Inauguration Day stands out as one of the most fraught and uncertain in recent Am...
Do Voters Care About Democracy?
Last week, John Kelly, former President Donald Trump’s longest-serving chief of staff, said Trump fit the definition of a “fascist.” Democrats have se...
The Most Valuable Data Point
We are awash in data. As Election Day draws near, and new polls continue to pile up, our information overload will only intensify.
So today on t...
How the Diploma Divide Took Over Our Politics
For decades, Republicans were thought of as the country club set, while Democrats were the party of the working class. But increasingly, education has...
A New Kind Of Undecided Voter
With Election Day just two weeks away, Republicans and Democrats are zeroing in on undecided voters. But the profile of the typical swing voter has ch...
A 538 Election Road Trip
We talk plenty about the presidential race on the 538 Politics podcast, but of course, that is not the only thing on the ballot this November. America...